乌克兰危机与中国海外利益 / The Ukrainian Crisis and China’s Overseas Interests

Abstract

顾心阳  金威 

【摘要】 乌克兰危机短期内对中国拓展在海外的利益是不利的。中国在乌克兰拥有广泛的利益，但这些利益正在或即将因乌克兰危机受到影响。对于中国在乌克兰的利益，本次危机主要带来了负面影响。而对于中国在其他国家的利益，本次危机不光带来了消极影响，也有着积极影响。乌克兰危机仍在进行中，短期内似乎无法解决，如何衡量利弊得失，需要时间来证明。而中国如何利用这次危机达到获益最大、损失最小，实现利益的最大化，需要决策者的智慧。此次乌克兰危机对中国在海外谋求自身利益的影响也促使我们思考今后应该如何应对类似事件、保护在海外的利益。政党轮替、党派冲突是造成乌克兰等国动荡的主要因素，这提醒我们今后在这些国家拓展利益需要谨慎，如果一定要在这些国家拓展利益，不但需要与现任执政者搞好关系，同时也需要与反对派搞好关系。

The Ukrainian crisis is harmful to China’s overseas interests from a short term perspective. A wide range of Chinese interests in Ukraine are facing challenges due to the Ukrainian crisis. The impact of the Ukrainian crisis on China’s interests in Ukraine is mainly negative whereas the impact on China’s interests in other foreign countries is both negative and positive. The Ukrainian crisis is still in progress, and it does not seem to be reaching a resolution in the near future. Only time will tell what the ultimate impact will be. How China utilizes the crisis to maximize its gains and minimize its losses will test the wisdom of decision makers. The Ukrainian crisis’s impact on China’s overseas interests prompts us to consider how to deal with similar events and protect overseas interests. Rotation of ruling parties and the partisan conflicts are the major factors of turmoil occurring in Ukraine and other countries which reminds us that an expansion of interests in these countries needs to be prudent in the future. If China has to do so, it is necessary to build good relationships both with the ruling party and the opposition.